Yesterday (December 22), I appeared on CNBC’s “Trading Nation” with anchor Seema Mody. I recommended Micron (MU, $70.44) even though that was my pick when I was on the show a month or so before. Since then, the stock has popped from $45 to $70. I think that with the major memory chip vendors disciplined with their production, and with the voracious storage demand coming from 5G wireless, that this company can earn $12 per share again over the next few years in the next industry upcycle. To put this in perspective, MU earned $3 per share last year.
I also recommended shorting DoorDash (DASH, $156.79). I don’t think that this recent scorching IPO can hold its value. A money-losing food delivery company with no true competitive advantage shouldn’t trade for 20 times sales when the shares of the best, highly profitable software companies trade for 10 times. Also, particularly as deliveries slow after COVID, I bet that DASH won’t be able to continue to steal 20% per delivery from restaurants. Watch out below! We’ll see if I’m right.
Last, I made/make the call that tech will outperform yet again in 2021 after the “revenge if the nerds” rotation into value/cyclical stocks peters out before next summer. Growth/tech stocks do relatively well in a low-interest rate, low growth, low inflation environment & that’s what I see. The only piece of this puzzle in which I may be wrong is the subdued inflation. Again, let’s check in a year from now.
Note that I own MU, as do my clients at Independent Solutions Wealth Management as well as our Wireless Fund (WIREX) shareholders. We’ve no DASH positions.
If your looking for more stock talk from tech investor Paul Meeks, be sure to read his other blogs; Tech Investor Paul Meeks Explains How This Stock Could Decelerate Its Earnings Due to COVID and Salesforce.com and Slack Is A Bad Deal, Paul Meeks Explains.
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Paul Meeks is on CNBC’s Squawk Box to talk tech stocks in the market for 2021.
In light of the volitility we have seen throughout the course of 2020, Independent Solutions Wealth Management has been monitoring our strategies carefully and focusing on readying our portfolios for our next steps.